Peyton Stearns won 7-6(6) 6-4
Nailed it. We had Peyton Stearns at 57% before the match, and Peyton Stearns won 7-6(6) 6-4.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Peyton Stearns goes up against Sloane Stephens in the Guadalajara quarterfinal. Peyton Stearns comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Sloane Stephens is 5-5 across recent matches.
Peyton Stearns is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Stearns around 57%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Stearns fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Peyton Stearns | Sloane Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 65.4% | 68.5% |
| 1st serve points won | 60.7% | 60.8% |
| 2nd serve points won | 45.6% | 45.8% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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