Shintaro Mochizuki won 6-3 4-6 6-1
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 67% on Philip Sekulic; Shintaro Mochizuki won 6-3 4-6 6-1.
Wednesday's Winnipeg round of 32 pits Philip Sekulic against Shintaro Mochizuki on hard. Philip Sekulic is 6-4 across recent matches. Shintaro Mochizuki has won 7 of the last 10.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Sekulic.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Philip Sekulic | Shintaro Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 64.3% | 51.5% |
| 1st serve points won | 67.4% | 69.2% |
| 2nd serve points won | 49.6% | 47% |
The head-to-head is level at 0-0.
Full Sekulic vs Mochizuki history →This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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