Pierre Hugues Herbert and Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg meet in the round of 32 at Mouilleron-Le-Captif on Monday. Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg has won 5 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall. Pierre Hugues Herbert limps in on a 5-match losing skid, just 2 wins in 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Wayenburg is exactly that — a lean.