Lyon (France) · R32 · Clay · best of 3 · Oct 20, 2026, 10:05 AM UTC
Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 20, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
✗ Pick wrong
Pierre Hugues Herbert won 6-3 6-4
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 60% on Sebastian Baez; Pierre Hugues Herbert won 6-3 6-4.
Pierre Hugues Herbert and Sebastian Baez meet in the round of 32 at Lyon (France) on Tuesday. Sebastian Baez has won 5 of the last 10. Pierre Hugues Herbert comes in at 2 wins from the last ten.
Sebastian Baez simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Baez should have enough here, though Herbert has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Clay rating
Pierre Hugues Herbert
1530
Sebastian Baez
1792
Overall rating
Pierre Hugues Herbert
1612
Sebastian Baez
1818
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Pierre Hugues Herbert
Sebastian Baez
1st serve in
58.5%
72.1%
1st serve points won
73.4%
64.6%
2nd serve points won
48.9%
51.6%
Form
Pierre Hugues Herbert
2–8
Sebastian Baez
5–5
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez at Lyon (France)?
Pierre Hugues Herbert won 6-3 6-4.
Was the Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez prediction correct?
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 60% on Sebastian Baez; Pierre Hugues Herbert won 6-3 6-4.