Friday's Gstaad quarterfinal pits Raphael Collignon against Valentin Vacherot on clay. Raphael Collignon is 6-4 across recent matches. Valentin Vacherot brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
Raphael Collignon simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Collignon fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Raphael Collignon | Valentin Vacherot |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 64.1% | 65% |
| 1st serve points won | 73.9% | 74.1% |
| 2nd serve points won | 45.8% | 50.6% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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