A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Remy Bertola goes up against Steve Johnson in the Lincoln round of 32. Remy Bertola limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Steve Johnson limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Bertola fractionally more likely to land the big points.