A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Sebastian Baez goes up against Valentin Vacherot in the Shanghai round of 64. Valentin Vacherot is 7-3 across recent matches. Sebastian Baez comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Vacherot has been winning 72.5% of first-serve points to Baez's 64.6%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Vacherot should have enough here, though Baez has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Sebastian Baez | Valentin Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 72.1% | 65% |
| 1st serve points won | 64.6% | 72.5% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.6% | 49.8% |
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