A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Stefan Kozlov goes up against Yibing Wu in the Newport round of 32. Stefan Kozlov comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Yibing Wu limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
Stefan Kozlov simply rates much higher on grass, and our number follows from it. Kozlov comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Kozlov fractionally more likely to land the big points.