A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Stefano Napolitano goes up against Stefano Travaglia in the Genova round of 32. Stefano Napolitano is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (7 of the last 10). Stefano Travaglia is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (3 of the last 10).

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Napolitano is exactly that — a lean.