Wednesday's Olbia round of 16 pits Stefano Travaglia against Valentin Royer on hard. Valentin Royer has dropped 2 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten. Stefano Travaglia limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Travaglia comes in off a compressed schedule; Royer comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Royer is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Stefano Travaglia | Valentin Royer |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 56% | 81.6% |
| 1st serve points won | 69.6% | 26.2% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.8% | 50.7% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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