Stefanos Tsitsipas won 4-6 6-3 6-4
Nailed it. We had Stefanos Tsitsipas at 60% before the match, and Stefanos Tsitsipas won 4-6 6-3 6-4.
Thursday's Tokyo round of 32 pits Stefanos Tsitsipas against Tomas Martin Etcheverry on hard. Stefanos Tsitsipas has won 7 of the last 10. Tomas Martin Etcheverry is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10).
The serve is where this match separates: Tsitsipas has been winning 74.8% of first-serve points to Etcheverry's 71.2%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Tsitsipas fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Stefanos Tsitsipas | Tomas Martin Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.2% | 64.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 74.8% | 71.2% |
| 2nd serve points won | 52.7% | 51% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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