Friday's Cincinnati first round pits Stefanos Tsitsipas against Valentin Royer on hard. Stefanos Tsitsipas comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Valentin Royer is 5-5 across recent matches.

The serve is where this match separates: Tsitsipas has been winning 74.8% of first-serve points to Royer's 26.1%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. The edge belongs to Tsitsipas — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.