Valentin Vacherot won 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 51% on Stefanos Tsitsipas; Valentin Vacherot won 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4.
Stefanos Tsitsipas and Valentin Vacherot meet in the round of 16 at Tokyo on Friday. Stefanos Tsitsipas is 7-3 across recent matches. Valentin Vacherot comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Tsitsipas comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Tsitsipas is exactly that — a lean.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Stefanos Tsitsipas | Valentin Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.2% | 64.9% |
| 1st serve points won | 74.8% | 72.5% |
| 2nd serve points won | 52.7% | 50% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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