A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Tatjana Maria goes up against Taylor Townsend in the Guadalajara round of 32. Taylor Townsend has won 6 of the last 10. Tatjana Maria is 7-3 across recent matches.

Taylor Townsend simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Townsend — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.