Thijs Boogaard and Daniil Medvedev meet in the round of 16 at Hertogenbosch on Friday. Daniil Medvedev limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Thijs Boogaard is 1-9 across recent matches.
Daniil Medvedev simply rates much higher on grass, and our number follows from it. Boogaard comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Medvedev.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Thijs Boogaard | Daniil Medvedev |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.5% | 62.2% |
| 1st serve points won | 71.4% | 72.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 52.4% | 48.9% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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