Thijs Boogaard and Daniil Medvedev meet in the round of 16 at Hertogenbosch on Friday. Daniil Medvedev limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Thijs Boogaard is 1-9 across recent matches.
Daniil Medvedev simply rates much higher on grass, and our number follows from it. Boogaard comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Medvedev.