It all comes down to Sunday at Iasi, where Titouan Droguet faces Zsombor Piros for the trophy. Zsombor Piros brings a 9-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Titouan Droguet has won 4 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Droguet comes in off a compressed schedule; Piros comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Piros is exactly that — a lean.