Wednesday's Winnipeg round of 16 pits Toby Samuel against Yosuke Watanuki on hard. Toby Samuel is 5-5 across recent matches. Yosuke Watanuki has won 6 of the last 10.
There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.
Toby Samuel simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Samuel comes in off a compressed schedule; Watanuki comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Samuel — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.