Wednesday's Winnipeg round of 16 pits Toby Samuel against Yosuke Watanuki on hard. Toby Samuel is 5-5 across recent matches. Yosuke Watanuki has won 6 of the last 10.
There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.
Toby Samuel simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Samuel comes in off a compressed schedule; Watanuki comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Samuel — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Toby Samuel | Yosuke Watanuki |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 65.1% | 54.6% |
| 1st serve points won | 67.6% | 75.5% |
| 2nd serve points won | 55% | 50.2% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
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