Tomas Machac and Zhizhen Zhang meet in the first round at Shanghai on Wednesday. Tomas Machac has dropped 5 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten. Zhizhen Zhang has dropped 4 straight and sits at 1-9 over the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Machac should have enough here, though Zhang has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.