Hamburg · R16 · Clay · best of 3 · May 20, 2026, 2:50 PM UTC
Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Tommy Paul — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · May 20, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
✗ Pick wrong
Tommy Paul won 6-7(5) 7-6(5) 7-6(7)
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 57% on Tomas Martin Etcheverry; Tommy Paul won 6-7(5) 7-6(5) 7-6(7).
Tomas Martin Etcheverry and Tommy Paul meet in the round of 16 at Hamburg on Wednesday. Tomas Martin Etcheverry is 6-4 across recent matches. Tommy Paul has won 4 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.
The ledger favors Tommy Paul, 3-0 across their 3 meetings with Tomas Martin Etcheverry. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Paul — worth more than the overall number this week.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Little separates them; Etcheverry gets the nod on the finest of margins.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Clay rating
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
1803
Tommy Paul
1955
Overall rating
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
1808
Tommy Paul
2010
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Tommy Paul
1st serve in
64.7%
61.9%
1st serve points won
71%
69.7%
2nd serve points won
51.1%
50.8%
Form
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
6–4
Tommy Paul
7–3
Head to head
Tommy Paul leads the head-to-head 3-0. On clay: 2-0 Tommy Paul.
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Tommy Paul at Hamburg?
Tommy Paul won 6-7(5) 7-6(5) 7-6(7).
Was the Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Tommy Paul prediction correct?
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 57% on Tomas Martin Etcheverry; Tommy Paul won 6-7(5) 7-6(5) 7-6(7).
What is the head-to-head record between Tomas Martin Etcheverry and Tommy Paul?
Tommy Paul leads the head-to-head 3-0. On clay: 2-0 Tommy Paul.