A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Y. Bu goes up against Yibing Wu in the Lincoln round of 16. Yibing Wu limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10. Y. Bu is 4-6 across recent matches.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Wu gets the nod on the finest of margins.