Wednesday's Guangzhou round of 16 pits Yi Zhou against Zhizhen Zhang on hard. Yi Zhou is 4-6 across recent matches. Zhizhen Zhang has dropped 5 straight and sits at 1-9 over the last ten.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Zhou comes in off a compressed schedule; Zhang comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Zhou fractionally more likely to land the big points.