Wednesday's Ningbo round of 16 pits Yu Hsiou Hsu against Yuta Shimizu on hard. Yuta Shimizu is 4-6 across recent matches. Yu Hsiou Hsu limps in on a 7-match losing skid, just 2 wins in 10.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Little separates them; Shimizu gets the nod on the finest of margins.