Arizona State Sun Devils vs Kansas Jayhawks — we have no call on this one
We are not publishing a call on this game.
Our model ran this game and landed too close to a coin flip to say anything useful. We publish a call only when it clears our confidence floor; under that we would be guessing, and a guess on the record is worth less than nothing.
What that gate did to this week
Week 3, 2026 ran 57 games through the model. 49 cleared every gate and were published before kickoff. 8 did not, and this is one of them.
The calls that do clear get settled on the record either way: 64 of 73 college football picks correct so far, which is 88%. That number is what the gates are protecting, and it is the reason a game we are unsure about gets this page instead of a number.
Why we publish this at all
A short board is the honest one. Our model runs every game on the slate, and the ones that clear our gates get published before kickoff and graded afterwards — win or lose, on the same page. The rest get this.
We would rather tell you we looked and declined than leave a gap where a game should be. A missing page and a considered no are very different answers, and only one of them is true here.
Decision recorded Sep 13, 2026, 3:04 PM UTC
The games we did call
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Delaware Blue HensSat, Sep 19 · Delaware Blue Hens, 60% to win
- Buffalo Bulls at Penn State Nittany LionsSat, Sep 19 · Our pick: on the game page
- Kent State Golden Flashes at Ohio State BuckeyesSat, Sep 19 · Our pick: on the game page
- Akron Zips at Minnesota Golden GophersSat, Sep 19 · Our pick: on the game page
- North Carolina Tar Heels at Clemson TigersSat, Sep 19 · Our pick: on the game page
- Bowling Green Falcons at Iowa State CyclonesSat, Sep 19 · Our pick: on the game page
Tomorrow's board, before kickoff
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Frequently asked questions
- Who do you pick to win Arizona State vs Kansas?
- We do not have a pick on this game. Our model ran this game and landed too close to a coin flip to say anything useful. We publish a call only when it clears our confidence floor; under that we would be guessing, and a guess on the record is worth less than nothing. Every game we do call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, win or lose.
- Will you publish a call before kickoff?
- Only if what we are looking at changes. This is not a placeholder for a pick we are still working on — it is the finished answer for this game unless the picture moves before kickoff.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.