Iowa State Cyclones at BYU Cougars — prediction and win probability
The numbers
| Projected total | 50.4 |
The projected total is our model’s number, not a market’s. We grade the win probability, and it opens to everyone the moment this game is played.
Market average
| Spread (BYU Cougars) | -11 |
| Total | 46.5 |
The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.
Still to come today
Prediction published Oct 4, 2026, 3:02 PM UTC
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Frequently asked questions
- What is the projected total for Iowa State vs BYU?
- Our model projects 50.4 combined points. Maiden grades the win probability, not the total, and that win probability opens to everyone the moment this game is played.
- Where does the Iowa State vs BYU win probability come from?
- We fit power ratings to eleven seasons of college football results, blend them with published efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home advantage, with BYU Cougars hosting Iowa State Cyclones. The win-probability model is checked against more than six thousand out-of-sample games. No sportsbook line goes into it, and none appears on this page.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.