Strasbourg predictions, May 17, 2026: Sakkari vs. Stearns, Avanesyan vs. Ferro

By The Maiden Desk · May 17, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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4 matches are on Sunday's card at Strasbourg and 2 other events, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Maria Sakkari against Peyton Stearns in the round of 32. Our calls: Sakkari over Stearns, Ferro over Avanesyan, Trungelliti over Navone, Kasatkina over Zakharova. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

Yesterday’s results: 3-1

May 16, 2026 card →

✓ Pick rightSinner at 67% won 6-2 5-7 5-4
✓ Pick rightBasavareddy at 54% won 7-6 5-2
✓ Pick rightPutintseva at 51% won 6-4 6-3
✗ Pick wrongGauff at 52% lost 4-6 7-6 2-5

Every pick graded in public — the full ledger lives on the track record.

Maria Sakkari vs. Peyton Stearns

Sunday's Strasbourg round of 32 pits Maria Sakkari against Peyton Stearns on clay. Maria Sakkari comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Peyton Stearns comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

Peyton Stearns has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Maria Sakkari. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Stearns — worth more than the overall number this week.

Sakkari's 64.4% behind the first serve (against 60.6% for Stearns) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Little separates them; Sakkari gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Pick: Sakkari

Win probability: 59% Sakkari

✗ Pick wrongGraded: incorrect. We had Maria Sakkari at 59%, but Peyton Stearns won 6-3 5-1. This one goes in the ledger — every miss stays on the record.

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Elina Avanesyan vs. Fiona Ferro

Sunday brings the Rabat final: Elina Avanesyan against Fiona Ferro. Fiona Ferro comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Elina Avanesyan has won 3 of the last 10.

The ledger favors Elina Avanesyan, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Fiona Ferro. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Avanesyan — worth more than the overall number this week.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Ferro is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Ferro

Win probability: 57% Ferro

✓ Pick rightGraded: correct. Our final pre-match number was 57% on Fiona Ferro, and Fiona Ferro won 6-7 6-0 6-3.

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Marco Trungelliti vs. Mariano Navone

A spot in the next round is at stake on Sunday, when Marco Trungelliti goes up against Mariano Navone in the Geneva round of 32. Marco Trungelliti limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Mariano Navone comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Mariano Navone has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Marco Trungelliti. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Navone — worth more than the overall number this week.

Hold strength tells the story — 67.7% versus 62.7% on first-serve points in Trungelliti's favor. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Trungelliti is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Trungelliti

Win probability: 54% Trungelliti

✗ Pick wrongGraded: incorrect. We had Marco Trungelliti at 54%, but Mariano Navone won 5-7 7-5 6-1. This one goes in the ledger — every miss stays on the record.

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Anastasia Zakharova vs. Daria Kasatkina

It all comes down to Sunday at Strasbourg, where Anastasia Zakharova faces Daria Kasatkina for the trophy. Daria Kasatkina has dropped 3 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten. Anastasia Zakharova comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Kasatkina gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Pick: Kasatkina

Win probability: 51% Kasatkina

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Daria Kasatkina was our 51% pick, and won 6-4 5-2.

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