A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Frances Tiafoe goes up against Rinky Hijikata in the Stuttgart round of 16. Frances Tiafoe is 7-3 across recent matches. Rinky Hijikata is 6-4 across recent matches.
The ledger favors Frances Tiafoe, 3-1 across their 4 meetings with Rinky Hijikata. On grass specifically it reads 1-0 Hijikata — worth more than the overall number this week.
The serve is where this match separates: Tiafoe has been winning 72.1% of first-serve points to Hijikata's 68.9%, and on grass that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Tiafoe fractionally more likely to land the big points.