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Stuttgart predictions, June 11, 2026: Landaluce vs. Fritz, Minnen vs. Montgomery

By The Maiden Desk · June 11, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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11 matches are on Thursday's card at Stuttgart and 1 other event, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Martin Landaluce against Taylor Fritz in the round of 16. Our calls: Fritz over Landaluce, Montgomery over Minnen, Lehecka over Duckworth, Mertens over Ruse, Snigur over Udvardy, Griekspoor over Zhang, Kyrgios over Shimabukuro, Rinderknech over Mannarino, Humbert over Bonzi, Linette over Pohankova, Tiafoe over Hijikata. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

Yesterday’s results: 8-3

June 10, 2026 card →
  • ✓ Pick rightMajchrzak at 85% won 6-7 6-4 7-6
  • ✓ Pick rightPotapova at 68% won 6-7 6-4 6-4
  • ✓ Pick rightGriekspoor at 67% won 6-2 6-7 6-4
  • ✓ Pick rightBublik at 66% won 7-6 3-6 6-2
  • ✓ Pick rightMcnally at 62% won 4-6 6-0 4-3
  • ✓ Pick rightBoogaard at 61% won 6-3 2-6 6-4
  • ✓ Pick rightAnisimova at 61% won 6-1 6-3
  • ✓ Pick rightVandewinkel at 54% won 4-6 7-6 7-5
  • ✗ Pick wrongHurkacz at 84% lost 6-3 6-7 5-5
  • ✗ Pick wrongBergs at 73% lost 7-6 2-6 6-7
  • ✗ Pick wrongBoisson at 71% lost 4-6 7-5 3-6

Every pick graded in public — the full ledger lives on the track record.

Martin Landaluce vs. Taylor Fritz

Martin Landaluce and Taylor Fritz meet in the round of 16 at Stuttgart on Thursday. Taylor Fritz is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10). Martin Landaluce has won 7 of the last 10.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

The serve is where this match separates: Fritz has been winning 74.6% of first-serve points to Landaluce's 71.4%, and on grass that gap compounds fast. Landaluce needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.

Pick: Fritz

Win probability: 86% Fritz

✓ Pick rightGraded: correct. Our final pre-match number was 86% on Taylor Fritz, and Taylor Fritz won 6-7 7-5 7-6.

Greet Minnen vs. Robin Montgomery

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Greet Minnen goes up against Robin Montgomery in the Hertogenbosch round of 16. Robin Montgomery brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 5-5 across the last ten. Greet Minnen has won 4 of the last 10.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

Robin Montgomery simply rates much higher on grass, and our number follows from it. Minnen comes in off a compressed schedule. If Montgomery plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.

Pick: Montgomery

Win probability: 81% Montgomery

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 81% on Robin Montgomery, who won 4-6 6-6.

James Duckworth vs. Jiri Lehecka

James Duckworth and Jiri Lehecka meet in the round of 16 at Stuttgart on Thursday. Jiri Lehecka is 6-4 across recent matches. James Duckworth is 2-8 across recent matches.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on grass, and our number follows from it. Duckworth comes in off a compressed schedule. Anything other than a Lehecka win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

Pick: Lehecka

Win probability: 78% Lehecka

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 78% on Jiri Lehecka, who won 6-7 6-4 7-6.

Elena Gabriela Ruse vs. Elise Mertens

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Elena Gabriela Ruse goes up against Elise Mertens in the Hertogenbosch round of 16. Elise Mertens comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Elena Gabriela Ruse is 6-4 across recent matches.

The ledger favors Elise Mertens, 3-0 across their 3 meetings with Elena Gabriela Ruse. On grass specifically it reads 1-0 Mertens — worth more than the overall number this week.

Elise Mertens is clearly higher-rated on grass — our number puts Mertens around 70%. Ruse comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Mertens — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Pick: Mertens

Win probability: 70% Mertens

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Elise Mertens at 70% lost to Elena Gabriela Ruse (6-3 6-3). It counts against our record like every other miss.

Daria Snigur vs. Panna Udvardy

Thursday's Hertogenbosch round of 16 pits Daria Snigur against Panna Udvardy on grass. Daria Snigur is 6-4 across recent matches. Panna Udvardy has won 5 of the last 10.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on grass, and our number follows from it. Snigur should have enough here, though Udvardy has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Pick: Snigur

Win probability: 69% Snigur

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 69% on Daria Snigur, who won 6-4 3-6 6-4.

Tallon Griekspoor vs. Ze Zhang

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Tallon Griekspoor goes up against Ze Zhang in the Hertogenbosch round of 16. Tallon Griekspoor is 3-7 across recent matches. Ze Zhang has won 4 of the last 10.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

Hold strength tells the story — 73.3% versus 65.8% on first-serve points in Griekspoor's favor. Zhang comes in off a compressed schedule. Griekspoor should have enough here, though Zhang has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Pick: Griekspoor

Win probability: 69% Griekspoor

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Tallon Griekspoor at 69% lost to Ze Zhang (7-6 6-4). It counts against our record like every other miss.

Nick Kyrgios vs. Sho Shimabukuro

Thursday's Stuttgart round of 16 pits Nick Kyrgios against Sho Shimabukuro on grass. Nick Kyrgios has won 4 of the last 10. Sho Shimabukuro is rolling — 3 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Hold strength tells the story — 76.4% versus 72% on first-serve points in Kyrgios's favor. The edge belongs to Kyrgios — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Pick: Kyrgios

Win probability: 63% Kyrgios

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Nick Kyrgios at 63% lost to Sho Shimabukuro (4-6 7-6 6-4). It counts against our record like every other miss.

Adrian Mannarino vs. Arthur Rinderknech

Adrian Mannarino and Arthur Rinderknech meet in the round of 16 at Hertogenbosch on Thursday. Arthur Rinderknech has won 5 of the last 10. Adrian Mannarino has won 2 of the last 10.

The ledger favors Adrian Mannarino, 2-1 across their 3 meetings with Arthur Rinderknech.

Hold strength tells the story — 74.4% versus 70.3% on first-serve points in Rinderknech's favor. Mannarino comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Rinderknech gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Pick: Rinderknech

Win probability: 60% Rinderknech

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 60% on Arthur Rinderknech; Adrian Mannarino won 7-6 3-6 6-3.

Benjamin Bonzi vs. Ugo Humbert

Benjamin Bonzi and Ugo Humbert meet in the round of 16 at Hertogenbosch on Thursday. Ugo Humbert is 5-5 across recent matches. Benjamin Bonzi comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

Benjamin Bonzi has had the better of this rivalry, winning 2 of 2 against Ugo Humbert.

Ugo Humbert simply rates much higher on grass, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Humbert is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Humbert

Win probability: 59% Humbert

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Ugo Humbert at 59% lost to Benjamin Bonzi (6-4 3-6 6-3). It counts against our record like every other miss.

Magda Linette vs. Mia Pohankova

Thursday's Hertogenbosch round of 16 pits Magda Linette against Mia Pohankova on grass. Magda Linette is rolling — 3 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play. Mia Pohankova brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 3-7 across the last ten.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Linette is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Linette

Win probability: 57% Linette

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Magda Linette was our 57% pick, and won 6-2 6-2.

Frances Tiafoe vs. Rinky Hijikata

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Frances Tiafoe goes up against Rinky Hijikata in the Stuttgart round of 16. Frances Tiafoe is 7-3 across recent matches. Rinky Hijikata is 6-4 across recent matches.

The ledger favors Frances Tiafoe, 3-1 across their 4 meetings with Rinky Hijikata. On grass specifically it reads 1-0 Hijikata — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Tiafoe has been winning 72.1% of first-serve points to Hijikata's 68.9%, and on grass that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Tiafoe fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Pick: Tiafoe

Win probability: 50% Tiafoe

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 50% on Frances Tiafoe, who won 6-4 6-4.

Updated Jul 3, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.