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Newport Predictions & Picks — July 8, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 8, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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12 matches are on Wednesday's card at Newport, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Adrian Mannarino against Remy Bertola in the round of 32. Our calls: Mannarino over Bertola, Dolehide over Sawangkaew, Ficovich over Galarneau, Holmgren over Schoolkate, Zhao over Stefanini, Broady over Vukic, and 6 more.

The boldest call on the card: Walton over Mcdonald — the market disagrees with us there.

Adam Walton vs. Mackenzie Mcdonald

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Adam Walton was our 64% pick, and won 6-1 6-3.

Pick: WaltonUpset call

Upset call: the market makes Mcdonald the favorite; our numbers say Walton.

Win probability: 64% Walton · Most likely score: 2-0 (41%)

Adam Walton and Mackenzie Mcdonald meet in the round of 32 at Newport on Wednesday. Adam Walton limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 7 wins in 10. Mackenzie Mcdonald limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on grass, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Walton — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Aleksandar Vukic vs. Liam Broady

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Liam Broady at 54% before the match, and Liam Broady won 7-6 6-3.

Pick: BroadyUpset call

Upset call: the market makes Vukic the favorite; our numbers say Broady.

Win probability: 54% Broady · Most likely score: 2-0 (32%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Aleksandar Vukic goes up against Liam Broady in the Newport round of 32. Liam Broady comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Aleksandar Vukic has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

Liam Broady leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On grass specifically it reads 1-0 Broady — worth more than the overall number this week.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Broady is exactly that — a lean.

Caroline Dolehide vs. Mananchaya Sawangkaew

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Caroline Dolehide at 53% lost to Mananchaya Sawangkaew (6-3 6-4).

Pick: DolehideUpset call

Upset call: the market makes Sawangkaew the favorite; our numbers say Dolehide.

Win probability: 53% Dolehide · Most likely score: 2-0 (29%) · Could go long: 47% chance of a full three sets

Wednesday's Newport round of 32 pits Caroline Dolehide against Mananchaya Sawangkaew on grass. Caroline Dolehide limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Mananchaya Sawangkaew is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (6 of the last 10).

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Little separates them; Dolehide gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Daniil Glinka vs. Y. Bu

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Y. Bu at 51% before the match, and Y. Bu won 6-4 6-4.

Pick: BuUpset call

Upset call: the market makes Glinka the favorite; our numbers say Bu.

Win probability: 51% Bu · Most likely score: 2-1 (26%) · Could go long: 51% chance of a full three sets

Daniil Glinka and Y. Bu meet in the round of 32 at Newport on Wednesday. Y. Bu is 4-6 across recent matches. Daniil Glinka is 5-5 across recent matches.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Bu is exactly that — a lean.

James Mccabe vs. Rei Sakamoto

Pick: Sakamoto

Win probability: 62% Sakamoto · Most likely score: 2-0 (35%)

James Mccabe and Rei Sakamoto meet in the round of 32 at Newport on Wednesday. Rei Sakamoto comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. James Mccabe has won 4 of the last 10.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Sakamoto.

Andre Ilagan vs. Rio Noguchi

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 52% on Andre Ilagan, who won 7-5 3-6 6-3.

Pick: IlaganUpset call

Upset call: the market makes Noguchi the favorite; our numbers say Ilagan.

Win probability: 52% Ilagan · Most likely score: 2-1 (27%) · Could go long: 52% chance of a full three sets

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Andre Ilagan goes up against Rio Noguchi in the Newport round of 32. Andre Ilagan limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Rio Noguchi is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10).

Rio Noguchi leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Ilagan comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Ilagan gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Adrian Mannarino vs. Remy Bertola

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 50% on Adrian Mannarino, who won 6-2 6-1.

Pick: Mannarino

Win probability: 50% Mannarino · Most likely score: 2-0 (29%)

Wednesday's Newport round of 32 pits Adrian Mannarino against Remy Bertola on grass. Adrian Mannarino limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Remy Bertola comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Remy Bertola has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Adrian Mannarino.

Adrian Mannarino simply rates much higher on grass, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Mannarino gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Alexis Galarneau vs. Juan Pablo Ficovich

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 54% on Juan Pablo Ficovich; Alexis Galarneau won 4-6 6-4 7-6.

Pick: FicovichUpset call

Upset call: the market makes Galarneau the favorite; our numbers say Ficovich.

Win probability: 54% Ficovich · Most likely score: 2-1 (28%) · Could go long: 54% chance of a full three sets

Wednesday's Newport round of 32 pits Alexis Galarneau against Juan Pablo Ficovich on grass. Juan Pablo Ficovich is searching for form, having lost 4 in a row (4 of the last 10). Alexis Galarneau limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Ficovich fractionally more likely to land the big points.

James Mccabe vs. Jason Jung

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 59% on Jason Jung, who won 6-4 6-3.

Pick: Jung

Win probability: 59% Jung · Most likely score: 2-0 (31%) · Could go long: 49% chance of a full three sets

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when James Mccabe goes up against Jason Jung in the Newport round of 32. Jason Jung has dropped 5 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten. James Mccabe is 4-6 across recent matches.

James Mccabe leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one.

Jason Jung is clearly higher-rated on grass — our number puts Jung around 59%. Jung comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Jung gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Carol Zhao vs. Lucrezia Stefanini

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Carol Zhao at 59% lost to Lucrezia Stefanini (6-3 6-1).

Pick: Zhao

Win probability: 59% Zhao · Most likely score: 2-0 (35%) · Could go long: 43% chance of a full three sets

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Carol Zhao goes up against Lucrezia Stefanini in the Newport round of 32. Carol Zhao limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Lucrezia Stefanini is 3-7 across recent matches.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

The serve is where this match separates: Zhao has been winning 60.7% of first-serve points to Stefanini's 54.8%, and on grass that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Zhao gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Darwin Blanch vs. Murphy Cassone

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 51% on Murphy Cassone; Darwin Blanch won 6-4 1-6 6-3.

Pick: CassoneUpset call

Upset call: the market makes Blanch the favorite; our numbers say Cassone.

Win probability: 51% Cassone · Most likely score: 2-1 (27%) · Could go long: 54% chance of a full three sets

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Darwin Blanch goes up against Murphy Cassone in the Newport round of 32. Murphy Cassone has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Darwin Blanch limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.

The ledger favors Murphy Cassone, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Darwin Blanch.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Cassone fractionally more likely to land the big points.

August Holmgren vs. Tristan Schoolkate

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had August Holmgren at 51%, but Tristan Schoolkate won 6-3 6-7 6-3.

Pick: Holmgren

Win probability: 51% Holmgren · Most likely score: 2-0 (27%) · Could go long: 48% chance of a full three sets

August Holmgren and Tristan Schoolkate meet in the round of 32 at Newport on Wednesday. August Holmgren is 6-4 across recent matches. Tristan Schoolkate comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Holmgren is exactly that — a lean.

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Updated Jul 15, 2026, 6:06 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.