A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Facundo Diaz Acosta goes up against Vilius Gaubas in the Braunschweig round of 16. Facundo Diaz Acosta has won 6 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Vilius Gaubas has won 3 of the last 10.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
Facundo Diaz Acosta is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Acosta around 61%. Acosta should have enough here, though Gaubas has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.