Thursday's Wimbledon semifinal pits Coco Gauff against Karolina Muchova on grass. Karolina Muchova is rolling — 10 straight wins, 10 of 10 in recent play. Coco Gauff is rolling — 7 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play.
Coco Gauff has had the better of this rivalry, winning 8 of 10 against Karolina Muchova. On grass specifically it reads 1-0 Muchova — worth more than the overall number this week.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Muchova is exactly that — a lean.