A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Juan Pablo Varillas goes up against Nicolas Mejia in the Bogota semifinal. Nicolas Mejia is rolling — 3 straight wins, 5 of 10 in recent play. Juan Pablo Varillas is rolling — 3 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play.
Nicolas Mejia leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Mejia — worth more than the overall number this week.
Nicolas Mejia simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Varillas comes in off a compressed schedule; Mejia comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Mejia fractionally more likely to land the big points.