Henri Squire and Matej Dodig meet in the semifinal at Trieste on Saturday. Matej Dodig brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten. Henri Squire is rolling — 3 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
Matej Dodig simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Squire comes in off a compressed schedule; Dodig arrives with very little recovery time. Little separates them; Dodig gets the nod on the finest of margins.