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Trieste Predictions & Picks — July 11, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 11, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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One match is on Saturday's card at Trieste, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Henri Squire against Matej Dodig in the semifinal. Our calls: Dodig over Squire.

Henri Squire vs. Matej Dodig

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 55% on Matej Dodig, who won 6-4 3-6 6-3.

Pick: Dodig

Win probability: 55% Dodig · Most likely score: 2-0 (28%) · Could go long: 51% chance of a full three sets

Henri Squire and Matej Dodig meet in the semifinal at Trieste on Saturday. Matej Dodig brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten. Henri Squire is rolling — 3 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Squire comes in off a compressed schedule; Dodig arrives with very little recovery time. Little separates them; Dodig gets the nod on the finest of margins.

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Updated Jul 11, 2026, 12:30 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.