Tuesday's Granby round of 32 pits August Holmgren against Yosuke Watanuki on hard. Yosuke Watanuki brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten. August Holmgren has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
Yosuke Watanuki is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Watanuki around 50%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Watanuki fractionally more likely to land the big points.