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Granby Predictions & Picks — July 14, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 14, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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5 matches are on Tuesday's card at Granby, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: August Holmgren against Yosuke Watanuki in the round of 32. Our calls: Watanuki over Holmgren, Gea over Sun, Schoolkate over Cassone, Galarneau over Uchida, Glinka over Johns.

August Holmgren vs. Yosuke Watanuki

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Yosuke Watanuki at 50% lost to August Holmgren (6-7 6-4 7-5).

Pick: Watanuki

Win probability: 50% Watanuki · Most likely score: 2-0 (28%)

Tuesday's Granby round of 32 pits August Holmgren against Yosuke Watanuki on hard. Yosuke Watanuki brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten. August Holmgren has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Yosuke Watanuki is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Watanuki around 50%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Watanuki fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Arthur Gea vs. Fajing Sun

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Arthur Gea was our 60% pick, and won 6-2 6-3.

Pick: Gea

Win probability: 60% Gea · Most likely score: 2-0 (36%)

Tuesday's Granby round of 32 pits Arthur Gea against Fajing Sun on hard. Arthur Gea has won 4 of the last 10. Fajing Sun limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Gea should have enough here, though Sun has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Murphy Cassone vs. Tristan Schoolkate

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Tristan Schoolkate at 56% lost to Murphy Cassone (7-5 4-6 7-6).

Pick: Schoolkate

Win probability: 56% Schoolkate · Most likely score: 2-0 (33%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Murphy Cassone goes up against Tristan Schoolkate in the Granby round of 32. Tristan Schoolkate comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Murphy Cassone limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

The serve is where this match separates: Schoolkate has been winning 75.1% of first-serve points to Cassone's 70.6%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Schoolkate fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Daniil Glinka vs. Garrett Johns

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Daniil Glinka at 58% before the match, and Daniil Glinka won 7-6 6-3.

Pick: Glinka

Win probability: 58% Glinka · Most likely score: 2-0 (35%)

Daniil Glinka and Garrett Johns meet in the round of 32 at Granby on Tuesday. Daniil Glinka is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10). Garrett Johns comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

Daniil Glinka simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Glinka gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Alexis Galarneau vs. Kaichi Uchida

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 53% on Alexis Galarneau, who won 6-2 6-1.

Pick: Galarneau

Win probability: 53% Galarneau · Most likely score: 2-0 (32%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Alexis Galarneau goes up against Kaichi Uchida in the Granby round of 32. Alexis Galarneau has won 5 of the last 10. Kaichi Uchida limps in on a 7-match losing skid, just 1 wins in 10.

Alexis Galarneau has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Kaichi Uchida. On hard specifically it reads 1-0 Galarneau — worth more than the overall number this week.

Alexis Galarneau simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Galarneau fractionally more likely to land the big points.

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Updated Jul 14, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.