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Tennis predictions, July 14, 2026: Buse vs. Tsitsipas, Kalinina vs. Badosa

By The Maiden Desk · July 14, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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23 matches are on Tuesday's card across 4 events, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Ignacio Buse against Stefanos Tsitsipas in the round of 32. Our calls: Tsitsipas over Buse, Badosa over Kalinina, Blockx over Droguet, Busta over Dodig, Tirante over Ofner, Kawa over Waltert, and 17 more. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

The boldest call on the card: Kawa over Waltert — the market disagrees with us there.

July 13, 2026 results: 1-2 how our picks graded, match by match.

Ignacio Buse vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Ignacio Buse goes up against Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Gstaad round of 32. Stefanos Tsitsipas limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Ignacio Buse has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

The ledger favors Ignacio Buse, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Stefanos Tsitsipas.

Tsitsipas's 75% behind the first serve (against 70.4% for Buse) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Tsitsipas fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Pick: Tsitsipas

Win probability: 53% Tsitsipas · Most likely score: 2-0 (29%) · Could go long: 47% chance of a full three sets

Anhelina Kalinina vs. Paula Badosa

Tuesday's Iasi round of 32 pits Anhelina Kalinina against Paula Badosa on clay. Paula Badosa has won 5 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. Anhelina Kalinina limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Badosa's 65.2% behind the first serve (against 60.8% for Kalinina) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Badosa is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Badosa

Win probability: 53% Badosa · Most likely score: 2-0 (33%)

Alexander Blockx vs. Titouan Droguet

Alexander Blockx and Titouan Droguet meet in the round of 32 at Umag on Tuesday. Alexander Blockx is 6-4 across recent matches. Titouan Droguet brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten.

The ledger favors Alexander Blockx, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Titouan Droguet.

The serve is where this match separates: Blockx has been winning 77.3% of first-serve points to Droguet's 73.8%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Blockx should have enough here, though Droguet has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Pick: Blockx

Win probability: 61% Blockx · Most likely score: 2-0 (35%)

Matej Dodig vs. Pablo Carreno Busta

Matej Dodig and Pablo Carreno Busta meet in the round of 32 at Umag on Tuesday. Pablo Carreno Busta has dropped 3 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten. Matej Dodig is 7-3 across recent matches.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Pablo Carreno Busta simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Busta fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Pick: Busta

Win probability: 55% Busta · Most likely score: 2-0 (32%)

Sebastian Ofner vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Sebastian Ofner goes up against Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Bastad round of 32. Thiago Agustin Tirante limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Sebastian Ofner comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Thiago Agustin Tirante simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Tirante is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Tirante

Win probability: 57% Tirante · Most likely score: 2-0 (33%)

Katarzyna Kawa vs. Simona Waltert

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Katarzyna Kawa goes up against Simona Waltert in the Iasi round of 32. Katarzyna Kawa limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Simona Waltert has won 5 of the last 10.

Simona Waltert leads the head-to-head 2-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Waltert — worth more than the overall number this week.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Kawa is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: KawaUpset call

Upset call — the market makes Waltert the favorite; our numbers say Kawa.

Win probability: 51% Kawa · Most likely score: 2-0 (29%) · Could go long: 43% chance of a full three sets

Andrea Pellegrino vs. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Tuesday's Bastad round of 32 pits Andrea Pellegrino against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer on clay. Andrea Pellegrino comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has dropped 5 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Pellegrino is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Pellegrino

Win probability: 54% Pellegrino · Most likely score: 2-0 (28%) · Could go long: 50% chance of a full three sets

Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Zdenek Kolar

Tuesday's Gstaad round of 32 pits Juan Manuel Cerundolo against Zdenek Kolar on clay. Juan Manuel Cerundolo has dropped 2 straight and sits at 7-3 over the last ten. Zdenek Kolar is 5-5 across recent matches.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Cerundolo around 58%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Cerundolo is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Cerundolo

Win probability: 58% Cerundolo · Most likely score: 2-0 (35%)

Marco Cecchinato vs. Roman Andres Burruchaga

Marco Cecchinato and Roman Andres Burruchaga meet in the round of 32 at Umag on Tuesday. Marco Cecchinato comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Roman Andres Burruchaga has dropped 4 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten.

The rivalry is dead level: 1-1 across 2 matches. On clay they're dead even at 1-1 — worth more than the overall number this week.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Cecchinato is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Cecchinato

Win probability: 53% Cecchinato · Most likely score: 2-0 (29%)

Alex Molcan vs. Valentin Royer

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Alex Molcan goes up against Valentin Royer in the Umag round of 32. Alex Molcan has dropped 2 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten. Valentin Royer has won 5 of the last 10.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

The serve is where this match separates: Molcan has been winning 66.2% of first-serve points to Royer's 25.5%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. The edge belongs to Molcan — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Pick: Molcan

Win probability: 69% Molcan · Most likely score: 2-0 (49%)

Emiliana Arango vs. Tamara Zidansek

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Emiliana Arango goes up against Tamara Zidansek in the Iasi round of 32. Emiliana Arango has won 4 of the last 10. Tamara Zidansek is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (6 of the last 10).

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Arango is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Arango

Win probability: 52% Arango · Most likely score: 2-0 (30%)

Jan Choinski vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Jan Choinski goes up against Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Bastad round of 32. Jan Choinski is rolling — 4 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Nikoloz Basilashvili is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (6 of the last 10).

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Jan Choinski is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Choinski around 57%. Little separates them; Choinski gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Pick: Choinski

Win probability: 57% Choinski · Most likely score: 2-0 (33%)

Elena Gabriela Ruse vs. Kaitlin Quevedo

Tuesday's Iasi round of 32 pits Elena Gabriela Ruse against Kaitlin Quevedo on clay. Elena Gabriela Ruse has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten. Kaitlin Quevedo is 5-5 across recent matches.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

The serve is where this match separates: Ruse has been winning 63.3% of first-serve points to Quevedo's 59.9%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Ruse is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Ruse

Win probability: 52% Ruse · Most likely score: 2-0 (33%)

Jaime Faria vs. Stan Wawrinka

Tuesday's Gstaad round of 32 pits Jaime Faria against Stan Wawrinka on clay. Jaime Faria is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (6 of the last 10). Stan Wawrinka has dropped 4 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

Jaime Faria simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Faria fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Pick: Faria

Win probability: 55% Faria · Most likely score: 2-0 (31%)

Alexander Shevchenko vs. Alexandre Muller

Alexander Shevchenko and Alexandre Muller meet in the round of 32 at Gstaad on Tuesday. Alexander Shevchenko is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10). Alexandre Muller limps in on a 10-match losing skid, just 0 wins in 10.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Shevchenko is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Shevchenko

Win probability: 50% Shevchenko · Most likely score: 2-0 (30%)

Daniel Altmaier vs. Hugo Gaston

Tuesday's Bastad round of 32 pits Daniel Altmaier against Hugo Gaston on clay. Daniel Altmaier is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10). Hugo Gaston is rolling — 4 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play.

Nothing separates them historically — the head-to-head sits at 1-1. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Gaston — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Altmaier has been winning 71.1% of first-serve points to Gaston's 65.7%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Altmaier gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Pick: Altmaier

Win probability: 55% Altmaier · Most likely score: 2-0 (33%)

Jaqueline Cristian vs. Leolia Jeanjean

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Jaqueline Cristian goes up against Leolia Jeanjean in the Iasi round of 32. Jaqueline Cristian is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10). Leolia Jeanjean comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Cristian is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Cristian

Win probability: 58% Cristian · Most likely score: 2-0 (38%)

Dalma Galfi vs. Mayar Sherif

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Dalma Galfi goes up against Mayar Sherif in the Iasi round of 32. Mayar Sherif has won 4 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. Dalma Galfi is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (2 of the last 10).

The ledger favors Mayar Sherif, 2-1 across their 3 meetings with Dalma Galfi. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Sherif — worth more than the overall number this week.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Sherif fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Pick: Sherif

Win probability: 56% Sherif · Most likely score: 2-0 (35%)

Dalibor Svrcina vs. Grigor Dimitrov

Tuesday's Bastad round of 32 pits Dalibor Svrcina against Grigor Dimitrov on clay. Grigor Dimitrov is 6-4 across recent matches. Dalibor Svrcina is 5-5 across recent matches.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Hold strength tells the story — 73.6% versus 62% on first-serve points in Dimitrov's favor. The edge belongs to Dimitrov — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Pick: Dimitrov

Win probability: 60% Dimitrov · Most likely score: 2-0 (39%)

Federico Cina vs. Quentin Halys

Federico Cina and Quentin Halys meet in the round of 32 at Gstaad on Tuesday. Quentin Halys is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10). Federico Cina limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Hold strength tells the story — 76.8% versus 68.6% on first-serve points in Halys's favor. The edge belongs to Halys — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Pick: Halys

Win probability: 61% Halys · Most likely score: 2-0 (38%)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Marko Topo

Tuesday's Umag round of 32 pits Camilo Ugo Carabelli against Marko Topo on clay. Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 6-4 across recent matches. Marko Topo is 3-7 across recent matches.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Carabelli gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Pick: Carabelli

Win probability: 58% Carabelli · Most likely score: 2-0 (39%)

Fabian Marozsan vs. Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Fabian Marozsan and Juan Carlos Prado Angelo meet in the round of 32 at Umag on Tuesday. Fabian Marozsan limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Juan Carlos Prado Angelo has dropped 6 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

The serve is where this match separates: Marozsan has been winning 69% of first-serve points to Angelo's 63.9%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Marozsan gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Pick: Marozsan

Win probability: 58% Marozsan · Most likely score: 2-0 (36%)

Pedro Martinez vs. Yannick Hanfmann

Pedro Martinez and Yannick Hanfmann meet in the round of 32 at Gstaad on Tuesday. Yannick Hanfmann limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Pedro Martinez is 3-7 across recent matches.

The ledger favors Yannick Hanfmann, 2-1 across their 3 meetings with Pedro Martinez. On clay they're dead even at 1-1 — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Hanfmann has been winning 70.2% of first-serve points to Martinez's 64.9%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Hanfmann.

Pick: Hanfmann

Win probability: 68% Hanfmann · Most likely score: 2-0 (46%)

Updated Jul 13, 2026, 7:01 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.

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