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Gstaad Predictions & Picks — July 14, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 14, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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6 matches are on Tuesday's card at Gstaad, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Ignacio Buse against Stefanos Tsitsipas in the round of 32. Our calls: Tsitsipas over Buse, Cerundolo over Kolar, Faria over Wawrinka, Shevchenko over Muller, Halys over Cina, Hanfmann over Martinez. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

Pedro Martinez vs. Yannick Hanfmann

Pedro Martinez and Yannick Hanfmann meet in the round of 32 at Gstaad on Tuesday. Yannick Hanfmann limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Pedro Martinez is 3-7 across recent matches.

The ledger favors Yannick Hanfmann, 2-1 across their 3 meetings with Pedro Martinez. On clay they're dead even at 1-1 — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Hanfmann has been winning 70.2% of first-serve points to Martinez's 64.9%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Hanfmann.

Pick: Hanfmann

Win probability: 68% Hanfmann · Most likely score: 2-0 (46%)

Federico Cina vs. Quentin Halys

Federico Cina and Quentin Halys meet in the round of 32 at Gstaad on Tuesday. Quentin Halys is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10). Federico Cina limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Hold strength tells the story — 76.8% versus 68.6% on first-serve points in Halys's favor. The edge belongs to Halys — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Pick: Halys

Win probability: 61% Halys · Most likely score: 2-0 (38%)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Zdenek Kolar

Tuesday's Gstaad round of 32 pits Juan Manuel Cerundolo against Zdenek Kolar on clay. Juan Manuel Cerundolo has dropped 2 straight and sits at 7-3 over the last ten. Zdenek Kolar is 5-5 across recent matches.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Cerundolo around 58%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Cerundolo is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Cerundolo

Win probability: 58% Cerundolo · Most likely score: 2-0 (35%)

Jaime Faria vs. Stan Wawrinka

Tuesday's Gstaad round of 32 pits Jaime Faria against Stan Wawrinka on clay. Jaime Faria is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (6 of the last 10). Stan Wawrinka has dropped 4 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

Jaime Faria simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Faria fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Pick: Faria

Win probability: 55% Faria · Most likely score: 2-0 (31%)

Ignacio Buse vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Ignacio Buse goes up against Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Gstaad round of 32. Stefanos Tsitsipas limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Ignacio Buse has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

The ledger favors Ignacio Buse, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Stefanos Tsitsipas.

Tsitsipas's 75% behind the first serve (against 70.4% for Buse) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Tsitsipas fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Pick: Tsitsipas

Win probability: 53% Tsitsipas · Most likely score: 2-0 (29%) · Could go long: 47% chance of a full three sets

Alexander Shevchenko vs. Alexandre Muller

Alexander Shevchenko and Alexandre Muller meet in the round of 32 at Gstaad on Tuesday. Alexander Shevchenko is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10). Alexandre Muller limps in on a 10-match losing skid, just 0 wins in 10.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Shevchenko is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Shevchenko

Win probability: 50% Shevchenko · Most likely score: 2-0 (30%)

Updated Jul 13, 2026, 8:01 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.