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Gstaad Predictions & Picks — July 14, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 14, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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6 matches are on Tuesday's card at Gstaad, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Ignacio Buse against Stefanos Tsitsipas in the round of 32. Our calls: Tsitsipas over Buse, Shevchenko over Muller, Faria over Wawrinka, Halys over Cina, Cerundolo over Kolar, Hanfmann over Martinez.

Pedro Martinez vs. Yannick Hanfmann

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Yannick Hanfmann at 68% before the match, and Yannick Hanfmann won 7-6 6-1.

Pick: Hanfmann

Win probability: 68% Hanfmann · Most likely score: 2-0 (46%)

Pedro Martinez and Yannick Hanfmann meet in the round of 32 at Gstaad on Tuesday. Yannick Hanfmann limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Pedro Martinez is 3-7 across recent matches.

The ledger favors Yannick Hanfmann, 2-1 across their 3 meetings with Pedro Martinez. On clay they're dead even at 1-1 — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Hanfmann has been winning 70.2% of first-serve points to Martinez's 64.9%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Hanfmann.

Federico Cina vs. Quentin Halys

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 61% on Quentin Halys, who won 6-3 3-6 7-6.

Pick: Halys

Win probability: 61% Halys · Most likely score: 2-0 (38%)

Federico Cina and Quentin Halys meet in the round of 32 at Gstaad on Tuesday. Quentin Halys is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10). Federico Cina limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Hold strength tells the story — 76.8% versus 68.6% on first-serve points in Halys's favor. The edge belongs to Halys — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Zdenek Kolar

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 58% before the match, and Juan Manuel Cerundolo won 4-6 6-3 6-4.

Pick: Cerundolo

Win probability: 58% Cerundolo · Most likely score: 2-0 (35%)

Tuesday's Gstaad round of 32 pits Juan Manuel Cerundolo against Zdenek Kolar on clay. Juan Manuel Cerundolo has dropped 2 straight and sits at 7-3 over the last ten. Zdenek Kolar is 5-5 across recent matches.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Cerundolo around 58%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Cerundolo is exactly that — a lean.

Jaime Faria vs. Stan Wawrinka

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Jaime Faria at 55% before the match, and Jaime Faria won 6-7 6-4 6-4.

Pick: Faria

Win probability: 55% Faria · Most likely score: 2-0 (31%)

Tuesday's Gstaad round of 32 pits Jaime Faria against Stan Wawrinka on clay. Jaime Faria is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (6 of the last 10). Stan Wawrinka has dropped 4 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

Jaime Faria simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Faria fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Ignacio Buse vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Stefanos Tsitsipas was our 53% pick, and won 6-4 6-4.

Pick: Tsitsipas

Win probability: 53% Tsitsipas · Most likely score: 2-0 (29%) · Could go long: 47% chance of a full three sets

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Ignacio Buse goes up against Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Gstaad round of 32. Stefanos Tsitsipas limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Ignacio Buse has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

The ledger favors Ignacio Buse, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Stefanos Tsitsipas.

Tsitsipas's 75% behind the first serve (against 70.4% for Buse) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Tsitsipas fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Alexander Shevchenko vs. Alexandre Muller

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 50% on Alexander Shevchenko, who won 3-6 6-3 6-4.

Pick: Shevchenko

Win probability: 50% Shevchenko · Most likely score: 2-0 (30%)

Alexander Shevchenko and Alexandre Muller meet in the round of 32 at Gstaad on Tuesday. Alexander Shevchenko is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10). Alexandre Muller limps in on a 10-match losing skid, just 0 wins in 10.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Shevchenko is exactly that — a lean.

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Updated Jul 13, 2026, 8:01 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.