2 matches are on Friday's card at Pozoblanco, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Chris Rodesch against Oliver Crawford in the quarterfinal. Our calls: Rodesch over Crawford, Ivashka over Added. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.
Dan Added and Ilya Ivashka meet in the quarterfinal at Pozoblanco on Friday. Ilya Ivashka has won 6 of the last 10. Dan Added is 4-6 across recent matches.
There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.
Ilya Ivashka is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Ivashka around 56%. Added comes in off a compressed schedule; Ivashka comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Ivashka fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Pick: Ivashka
Win probability: 56% Ivashka · Most likely score: 2-0 (33%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Chris Rodesch goes up against Oliver Crawford in the Pozoblanco quarterfinal. Chris Rodesch has won 6 of the last 10. Oliver Crawford is 5-5 across recent matches.
Chris Rodesch has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Oliver Crawford. On hard specifically it reads 1-0 Rodesch — worth more than the overall number this week.
Chris Rodesch simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Rodesch gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Rodesch
Win probability: 60% Rodesch · Most likely score: 2-0 (37%)