2 matches are on Friday's card at Pozoblanco, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Chris Rodesch against Oliver Crawford in the quarterfinal. Our calls: Rodesch over Crawford, Ivashka over Added.
Pick: Ivashka
Win probability: 56% Ivashka · Most likely score: 2-0 (33%)
Dan Added and Ilya Ivashka meet in the quarterfinal at Pozoblanco on Friday. Ilya Ivashka has won 6 of the last 10. Dan Added is 4-6 across recent matches.
There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.
Ilya Ivashka is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Ivashka around 56%. Added comes in off a compressed schedule; Ivashka comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Ivashka fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Pick: Rodesch
Win probability: 60% Rodesch · Most likely score: 2-0 (37%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Chris Rodesch goes up against Oliver Crawford in the Pozoblanco quarterfinal. Chris Rodesch has won 6 of the last 10. Oliver Crawford is 5-5 across recent matches.
Chris Rodesch has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Oliver Crawford. On hard specifically it reads 1-0 Rodesch — worth more than the overall number this week.
Chris Rodesch simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Rodesch gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Sign up for the daily desk email and our nine-chapter beginner's guide to trading sports prediction markets comes free as a PDF. One email a day with the day's free picks in full, unsubscribe anytime.