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Gstaad Predictions & Picks — July 18, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 18, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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2 matches are on Saturday's card at Gstaad, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Juan Manuel Cerundolo against Raphael Collignon in the semifinal. Our calls: Collignon over Cerundolo, Tsitsipas over Shevchenko. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

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Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Raphael Collignon

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Juan Manuel Cerundolo goes up against Raphael Collignon in the Gstaad semifinal. Raphael Collignon comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Juan Manuel Cerundolo comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has had the better of this rivalry, winning 3 of 3 against Raphael Collignon. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Cerundolo — worth more than the overall number this week.

Hold strength tells the story — 73.9% versus 68.2% on first-serve points in Collignon's favor. Cerundolo comes in off a compressed schedule; Collignon comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Collignon gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Pick: Collignon

Win probability: 55% Collignon · Most likely score: 2-0 (31%)

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 55% on Raphael Collignon, who won 1-6 7-6 7-5.

Alexander Shevchenko vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Alexander Shevchenko goes up against Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Gstaad semifinal. Stefanos Tsitsipas has won 4 of the last 10. Alexander Shevchenko is 5-5 across recent matches.

Alexander Shevchenko has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Stefanos Tsitsipas.

The serve is where this match separates: Tsitsipas has been winning 75% of first-serve points to Shevchenko's 70.1%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Shevchenko comes in off a compressed schedule; Tsitsipas comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Tsitsipas.

Pick: Tsitsipas

Win probability: 63% Tsitsipas · Most likely score: 2-0 (39%)

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Stefanos Tsitsipas was our 63% pick, and won 6-4 3-6 6-3.

Updated Jul 17, 2026, 6:31 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.