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Iasi Predictions & Picks — July 18, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 18, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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2 matches are on Saturday's card at Iasi, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Paula Badosa against Tamara Zidansek in the semifinal. Our calls: Badosa over Zidansek, Sherif over Oliynykova. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

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Mayar Sherif vs. Oleksandra Oliynykova

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Mayar Sherif goes up against Oleksandra Oliynykova in the Iasi semifinal. Mayar Sherif has won 7 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall. Oleksandra Oliynykova has won 6 of the last 10.

The ledger favors Oleksandra Oliynykova, 4-0 across their 4 meetings with Mayar Sherif. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Oliynykova — worth more than the overall number this week.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Oliynykova comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Sherif fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Pick: Sherif

Win probability: 51% Sherif · Most likely score: 2-0 (28%) · Could go long: 46% chance of a full three sets

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 51% on Mayar Sherif, who won 6-3 6-1.

Paula Badosa vs. Tamara Zidansek

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Paula Badosa goes up against Tamara Zidansek in the Iasi semifinal. Paula Badosa has won 7 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall. Tamara Zidansek has won 6 of the last 10.

Tamara Zidansek has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Paula Badosa. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Zidansek — worth more than the overall number this week.

Hold strength tells the story — 65.2% versus 58.1% on first-serve points in Badosa's favor. Badosa comes in off a compressed schedule; Zidansek comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Badosa is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Badosa

Win probability: 57% Badosa · Most likely score: 2-0 (36%)

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Paula Badosa was our 57% pick, and won 3-6 7-5 7-6.

Updated Jul 17, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.