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Gstaad Predictions & Picks — July 19, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 19, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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One match is on Sunday's card at Gstaad, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Raphael Collignon against Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final. Our calls: Collignon over Tsitsipas. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

The boldest call on the card: Collignon over Tsitsipas — the market disagrees with us there.

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Raphael Collignon vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas

The Gstaad title is on the line on Sunday, when Raphael Collignon meets Stefanos Tsitsipas. Raphael Collignon brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten. Stefanos Tsitsipas brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 5-5 across the last ten.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Collignon comes in off a compressed schedule; Tsitsipas comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Collignon gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Pick: CollignonUpset call

Upset call — the market makes Tsitsipas the favorite; our numbers say Collignon.

Win probability: 52% Collignon · Most likely score: 2-0 (31%)

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 52% on Raphael Collignon; Stefanos Tsitsipas won 6-4 6-7 6-3.

Updated Jul 18, 2026, 6:30 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.