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Tennis predictions, July 19, 2026: Rublev vs. Darderi, Collignon vs. Tsitsipas

By The Maiden Desk · July 19, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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3 matches are on Sunday's card across 3 events, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Andrey Rublev against Luciano Darderi in the final. Our calls: Rublev over Darderi, Collignon over Tsitsipas, Krejcikova over Sakkari.

The boldest call on the card: Collignon over Tsitsipas — the market disagrees with us there.

July 18, 2026 results: 11-3 how our picks graded, match by match.

Andrey Rublev vs. Luciano Darderi

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Andrey Rublev at 51% before the match, and Andrey Rublev won 6-4 6-3.

Pick: Rublev

Win probability: 51% Rublev · Most likely score: 2-0 (30%)

The Bastad title is on the line on Sunday, when Andrey Rublev meets Luciano Darderi. Andrey Rublev comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Luciano Darderi comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

Andrey Rublev has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Luciano Darderi. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Rublev — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Rublev has been winning 74.2% of first-serve points to Darderi's 70.5%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Rublev comes in off a compressed schedule; Darderi comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Rublev gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Raphael Collignon vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 52% on Raphael Collignon; Stefanos Tsitsipas won 6-4 6-7 6-3.

Pick: CollignonUpset call

Upset call: the market makes Tsitsipas the favorite; our numbers say Collignon.

Win probability: 52% Collignon · Most likely score: 2-0 (31%)

The Gstaad title is on the line on Sunday, when Raphael Collignon meets Stefanos Tsitsipas. Raphael Collignon brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten. Stefanos Tsitsipas brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 5-5 across the last ten.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Collignon comes in off a compressed schedule; Tsitsipas comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Collignon gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Barbora Krejcikova vs. Maria Sakkari

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 67% on Barbora Krejcikova, who won 7-6 6-3.

Pick: Krejcikova

Win probability: 67% Krejcikova · Most likely score: 2-0 (44%)

The Athens (Greece) title is on the line on Sunday, when Barbora Krejcikova meets Maria Sakkari. Barbora Krejcikova has won 8 of the last 10. Maria Sakkari comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

Barbora Krejcikova has had the better of this rivalry, winning 2 of 2 against Maria Sakkari. On hard specifically it reads 1-0 Krejcikova — worth more than the overall number this week.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Krejcikova.

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Updated Jul 18, 2026, 6:30 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.

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