4 matches are on Monday's card at Livesport Prague Open, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro against Marie Bouzkova in the round of 32. Our calls: Bouzkova over Maneiro, Kudermetova over Korneeva, Ruzic over Salkova, Snigur over Seidel.
The boldest call on the card: Kudermetova over Korneeva — the market disagrees with us there.
Pick: Snigur
Win probability: 79% Snigur · Sets: 2 (69%) · most likely score 2-0 (57%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Daria Snigur goes up against Ella Seidel in the Livesport Prague Open round of 32. Daria Snigur is 6-4 across recent matches. Ella Seidel has dropped 8 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten.
There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.
Daria Snigur is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Snigur around 79%. If Snigur plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.
Pick: Bouzkova
Win probability: 69% Bouzkova · Sets: 2 (64%) · most likely score 2-0 (46%)
Monday's Livesport Prague Open round of 32 pits Jessica Bouzas Maneiro against Marie Bouzkova on clay. Marie Bouzkova is 9-1 across recent matches. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10).
This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Bouzkova should have enough here, though Maneiro has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Pick: KudermetovaUpset call
Upset call: the market makes Korneeva the favorite; our numbers say Kudermetova.
Win probability: 57% Kudermetova · Most likely score: 2-0 (36%)
Monday's Livesport Prague Open round of 32 pits Alina Korneeva against Polina Kudermetova on clay. Polina Kudermetova limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Alina Korneeva is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (2 of the last 10).
Polina Kudermetova has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Alina Korneeva.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Little separates them; Kudermetova gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Ruzic
Win probability: 59% Ruzic · Sets: 2 (62%) · most likely score 2-0 (37%)
Antonia Ruzic and Dominika Salkova meet in the round of 32 at Livesport Prague Open on Monday. Antonia Ruzic has dropped 2 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten. Dominika Salkova limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.
The ledger favors Antonia Ruzic, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Dominika Salkova. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Ruzic — worth more than the overall number this week.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Ruzic is exactly that — a lean.
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