Tennis predictions, July 20, 2026: Sherif vs. Badosa, Carabelli vs. Droguet

It all comes down to Monday at Iasi, where Mayar Sherif faces Paula Badosa for the trophy. Paula Badosa is rolling — 8 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play. Mayar Sherif brings a 8-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten.

The ledger favors Paula Badosa, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Mayar Sherif. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Badosa — worth more than the overall number this week.

Hold strength tells the story — 65.2% versus 58.9% on first-serve points in Badosa's favor. Sherif comes in off a compressed schedule; Badosa comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Badosa.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Titouan Droguet meet in the round of 32 at Estoril on Monday. Titouan Droguet comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Camilo Ugo Carabelli comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Droguet's 73.5% behind the first serve (against 67.8% for Carabelli) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Droguet fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Ignacio Buse and Vit Kopriva meet in the round of 32 at Kitzbuhel on Monday. Ignacio Buse is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (3 of the last 10). Vit Kopriva limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

The ledger favors Vit Kopriva, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Ignacio Buse.

Hold strength tells the story — 70.6% versus 67% on first-serve points in Buse's favor. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Buse fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Monday's Hamburg round of 32 pits Anhelina Kalinina against Kaitlin Quevedo on clay. Anhelina Kalinina is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (5 of the last 10). Kaitlin Quevedo comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Anhelina Kalinina simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Kalinina is exactly that — a lean.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Lukas Neumayer goes up against Yannick Hanfmann in the Kitzbuhel round of 32. Yannick Hanfmann has won 4 of the last 10. Lukas Neumayer has dropped 2 straight and sits at 7-3 over the last ten.

Yannick Hanfmann has had the better of this rivalry, winning 2 of 2 against Lukas Neumayer. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Hanfmann — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Hanfmann has been winning 70.2% of first-serve points to Neumayer's 66.8%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. The edge belongs to Hanfmann — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Alexandre Muller goes up against Mariano Navone in the Kitzbuhel round of 32. Mariano Navone has dropped 5 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten. Alexandre Muller has dropped 10 straight and sits at 0-10 over the last ten.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Mariano Navone simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Navone.

Monday's Livesport Prague Open round of 32 pits Jessica Bouzas Maneiro against Marie Bouzkova on clay. Marie Bouzkova is 9-1 across recent matches. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10).

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Bouzkova should have enough here, though Maneiro has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Monday's Livesport Prague Open round of 32 pits Alina Korneeva against Polina Kudermetova on clay. Polina Kudermetova limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Alina Korneeva is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (2 of the last 10).

Polina Kudermetova has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Alina Korneeva.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Little separates them; Kudermetova gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Monday's Kitzbuhel round of 32 pits Facundo Diaz Acosta against Federico Cina on clay. Facundo Diaz Acosta has dropped 2 straight and sits at 8-2 over the last ten. Federico Cina has dropped 4 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Facundo Diaz Acosta is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Acosta around 72%. The edge belongs to Acosta — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Antonia Ruzic and Dominika Salkova meet in the round of 32 at Livesport Prague Open on Monday. Antonia Ruzic has dropped 2 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten. Dominika Salkova limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.

The ledger favors Antonia Ruzic, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Dominika Salkova. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Ruzic — worth more than the overall number this week.

Antonia Ruzic is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Ruzic around 59%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Ruzic is exactly that — a lean.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Henrique Rocha goes up against Pedro Martinez in the Estoril round of 32. Henrique Rocha limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Pedro Martinez limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Henrique Rocha simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Rocha.

Anna Bondar and Moyuka Uchijima meet in the round of 32 at Hamburg on Monday. Anna Bondar is 4-6 across recent matches. Moyuka Uchijima limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Anna Bondar simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Uchijima needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.

Monday's Kitzbuhel round of 32 pits Joel Schwaerzler against Jurij Rodionov on clay. Joel Schwaerzler is searching for form, having lost 4 in a row (3 of the last 10). Jurij Rodionov is searching for form, having lost 7 in a row (2 of the last 10).

Jurij Rodionov has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Joel Schwaerzler. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Rodionov — worth more than the overall number this week.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Schwaerzler should have enough here, though Rodionov has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Monday's Estoril round of 32 pits Frederico Ferreira Silva against Luca Van Assche on clay. Luca Van Assche has won 7 of the last 10. Frederico Ferreira Silva has dropped 2 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Assche — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Daria Snigur goes up against Ella Seidel in the Livesport Prague Open round of 32. Daria Snigur is 6-4 across recent matches. Ella Seidel has dropped 8 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

Daria Snigur is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Snigur around 79%. If Snigur plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.