One match is on Monday's card at Segovia, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Michael Geerts against Yi Zhou in the round of 32. Our calls: Geerts over Zhou. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.
The boldest call on the card: Geerts over Zhou — the market disagrees with us there.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Michael Geerts goes up against Yi Zhou in the Segovia round of 32. Michael Geerts has won 4 of the last 10. Yi Zhou is 5-5 across recent matches.
There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Little separates them; Geerts gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: GeertsUpset call
Upset call — the market makes Zhou the favorite; our numbers say Geerts.
Win probability: 52% Geerts · Sets: 3 (48%) · most likely score 2-0 (26%)