One match is on Monday's card at Segovia, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Michael Geerts against Yi Zhou in the round of 32. Our calls: Geerts over Zhou.
The boldest call on the card: Geerts over Zhou — the market disagrees with us there.
Pick: GeertsUpset call
Upset call: the market makes Zhou the favorite; our numbers say Geerts.
Win probability: 52% Geerts · Sets: 3 (48%) · most likely score 2-0 (26%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Michael Geerts goes up against Yi Zhou in the Segovia round of 32. Michael Geerts has won 4 of the last 10. Yi Zhou is 5-5 across recent matches.
There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Little separates them; Geerts gets the nod on the finest of margins.
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