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Tampere Predictions & Picks — July 20, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 20, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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2 matches are on Monday's card at Tampere, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Daniel Elahi Galan against Gilles Arnaud Bailly in the round of 32. Our calls: Galan over Bailly, Ajdukovic over Onclin. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

The boldest call on the card: Ajdukovic over Onclin — the market disagrees with us there.

Daniel Elahi Galan vs. Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Monday's Tampere round of 32 pits Daniel Elahi Galan against Gilles Arnaud Bailly on clay. Daniel Elahi Galan has won 6 of the last 10. Gilles Arnaud Bailly limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Little separates them; Galan gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Pick: Galan

Win probability: 59% Galan · Sets: 3 (43%) · most likely score 2-0 (35%)

✗ Pick wrongMissed it — and it stays on the record. We had Daniel Elahi Galan at 59%, but Gilles Arnaud Bailly won 7-6 6-2.

Duje Ajdukovic vs. Gauthier Onclin

Monday's Tampere round of 32 pits Duje Ajdukovic against Gauthier Onclin on clay. Duje Ajdukovic has won 4 of the last 10. Gauthier Onclin has dropped 2 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Duje Ajdukovic is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Ajdukovic around 60%. Ajdukovic should have enough here, though Onclin has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Pick: AjdukovicUpset call

Upset call — the market makes Onclin the favorite; our numbers say Ajdukovic.

Win probability: 60% Ajdukovic · Sets: 3 (47%) · most likely score 2-0 (33%)

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 60% on Duje Ajdukovic; Gauthier Onclin won 7-6 6-1.

Updated Jul 20, 2026, 12:30 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.