Monday's Tampere round of 32 pits Daniel Elahi Galan against Gilles Arnaud Bailly on clay. Daniel Elahi Galan has won 6 of the last 10. Gilles Arnaud Bailly limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Little separates them; Galan gets the nod on the finest of margins.