2 matches are on Monday's card at Tampere, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Daniel Elahi Galan against Gilles Arnaud Bailly in the round of 32. Our calls: Galan over Bailly, Ajdukovic over Onclin.
The boldest call on the card: Ajdukovic over Onclin — the market disagrees with us there.
Pick: Galan
Win probability: 59% Galan · Sets: 3 (43%) · most likely score 2-0 (35%)
Monday's Tampere round of 32 pits Daniel Elahi Galan against Gilles Arnaud Bailly on clay. Daniel Elahi Galan has won 6 of the last 10. Gilles Arnaud Bailly limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
Daniel Elahi Galan is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Galan around 59%. Little separates them; Galan gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: AjdukovicUpset call
Upset call: the market makes Onclin the favorite; our numbers say Ajdukovic.
Win probability: 60% Ajdukovic · Sets: 3 (47%) · most likely score 2-0 (33%)
Monday's Tampere round of 32 pits Duje Ajdukovic against Gauthier Onclin on clay. Duje Ajdukovic has won 4 of the last 10. Gauthier Onclin has dropped 2 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
Duje Ajdukovic is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Ajdukovic around 60%. Ajdukovic should have enough here, though Onclin has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
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