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Bloomfield Hills Predictions & Picks — July 21, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 21, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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7 matches are on Tuesday's card at Bloomfield Hills, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Alex Michelsen against Arthur Gea in the round of 32. Our calls: Michelsen over Gea, Johnson over Wong, Tomic over Boyer, Lajal over Blanch, Ruiz over Galarneau, Smith over Wolf, and 1 more. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

The boldest call on the card: Bertola over Fearnley — the market disagrees with us there.

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Alexis Galarneau vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Alexis Galarneau goes up against Pablo Llamas Ruiz in the Bloomfield Hills round of 32. Pablo Llamas Ruiz has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten. Alexis Galarneau comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Ruiz fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Pick: Ruiz

Win probability: 53% Ruiz · Sets: 2 (58%) · most likely score 2-0 (31%)

Jacob Fearnley vs. Remy Bertola

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Jacob Fearnley goes up against Remy Bertola in the Bloomfield Hills round of 32. Remy Bertola has dropped 3 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten. Jacob Fearnley brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Bertola fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Pick: BertolaUpset call

Upset call — the market makes Fearnley the favorite; our numbers say Bertola.

Win probability: 56% Bertola · Sets: 3 (46%) · most likely score 2-0 (31%)

✗ Pick wrongMissed it — and it stays on the record. We had Remy Bertola at 56%, but Jacob Fearnley won 6-4 6-4.

Coleman Wong vs. Steve Johnson

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Coleman Wong goes up against Steve Johnson in the Bloomfield Hills round of 32. Steve Johnson has won 5 of the last 10. Coleman Wong limps in on a 5-match losing skid, just 2 wins in 10.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Johnson is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: JohnsonUpset call

Upset call — the market makes Wong the favorite; our numbers say Johnson.

Win probability: 51% Johnson · Sets: 2 (60%) · most likely score 2-0 (30%)

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Steve Johnson at 51% lost to Coleman Wong (6-2 6-4). It stays up, like every other miss.

Darwin Blanch vs. Mark Lajal

Tuesday's Bloomfield Hills round of 32 pits Darwin Blanch against Mark Lajal on hard. Mark Lajal has won 6 of the last 10. Darwin Blanch limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

Lajal's 73.9% behind the first serve (against 70.9% for Blanch) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Lajal fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Pick: Lajal

Win probability: 56% Lajal · Sets: 3 (45%) · most likely score 2-0 (31%)

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Mark Lajal was our 56% pick, and won 6-4 5-7 6-4.

Colton Smith vs. J J Wolf

Tuesday's Bloomfield Hills round of 32 pits Colton Smith against J J Wolf on hard. Colton Smith is 7-3 across recent matches. J J Wolf is 2-8 across recent matches.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Smith — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Pick: Smith

Win probability: 66% Smith · Sets: 2 (64%) · most likely score 2-0 (43%)

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Colton Smith at 66% lost to J J Wolf (7-6 6-3). It stays up, like every other miss.

Bernard Tomic vs. Tristan Boyer

Bernard Tomic and Tristan Boyer meet in the round of 32 at Bloomfield Hills on Tuesday. Bernard Tomic is rolling — 5 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Tristan Boyer has dropped 3 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Tomic is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: TomicUpset call

Upset call — the market makes Boyer the favorite; our numbers say Tomic.

Win probability: 55% Tomic · Sets: 3 (43%) · most likely score 2-0 (31%)

Alex Michelsen vs. Arthur Gea

Alex Michelsen and Arthur Gea meet in the round of 32 at Bloomfield Hills on Tuesday. Alex Michelsen is 7-3 across recent matches. Arthur Gea has won 7 of the last 10.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Michelsen is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Michelsen

Win probability: 60% Michelsen · Sets: 2 (61%) · most likely score 2-0 (37%)

Not gradedThe result's not in yet — check back soon.

Updated Jul 20, 2026, 9:01 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.