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Bloomfield Hills Predictions & Picks — July 21, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 21, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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7 matches are on Tuesday's card at Bloomfield Hills, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Alex Michelsen against Arthur Gea in the round of 32. Our calls: Michelsen over Gea, Johnson over Wong, Tomic over Boyer, Bertola over Fearnley, Lajal over Blanch, Ruiz over Galarneau, and 1 more.

The boldest call on the card: Bertola over Fearnley — the market disagrees with us there.

Alexis Galarneau vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Pick: Ruiz

Win probability: 53% Ruiz · Sets: 2 (58%) · most likely score 2-0 (31%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Alexis Galarneau goes up against Pablo Llamas Ruiz in the Bloomfield Hills round of 32. Pablo Llamas Ruiz has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten. Alexis Galarneau comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Ruiz fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Jacob Fearnley vs. Remy Bertola

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had Remy Bertola at 56%, but Jacob Fearnley won 6-4 6-4.

Pick: BertolaUpset call

Upset call: the market makes Fearnley the favorite; our numbers say Bertola.

Win probability: 56% Bertola · Sets: 3 (46%) · most likely score 2-0 (31%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Jacob Fearnley goes up against Remy Bertola in the Bloomfield Hills round of 32. Remy Bertola has dropped 3 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten. Jacob Fearnley brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Bertola fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Coleman Wong vs. Steve Johnson

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Steve Johnson at 51% lost to Coleman Wong (6-2 6-4).

Pick: JohnsonUpset call

Upset call: the market makes Wong the favorite; our numbers say Johnson.

Win probability: 51% Johnson · Sets: 2 (60%) · most likely score 2-0 (30%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Coleman Wong goes up against Steve Johnson in the Bloomfield Hills round of 32. Steve Johnson has won 5 of the last 10. Coleman Wong limps in on a 5-match losing skid, just 2 wins in 10.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Johnson is exactly that — a lean.

Darwin Blanch vs. Mark Lajal

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Mark Lajal was our 56% pick, and won 6-4 5-7 6-4.

Pick: Lajal

Win probability: 56% Lajal · Sets: 3 (45%) · most likely score 2-0 (31%)

Tuesday's Bloomfield Hills round of 32 pits Darwin Blanch against Mark Lajal on hard. Mark Lajal has won 6 of the last 10. Darwin Blanch limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

Lajal's 73.9% behind the first serve (against 70.9% for Blanch) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Lajal fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Colton Smith vs. J J Wolf

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Colton Smith at 66% lost to J J Wolf (7-6 6-3).

Pick: Smith

Win probability: 66% Smith · Sets: 2 (64%) · most likely score 2-0 (43%)

Tuesday's Bloomfield Hills round of 32 pits Colton Smith against J J Wolf on hard. Colton Smith is 7-3 across recent matches. J J Wolf is 2-8 across recent matches.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Smith — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Bernard Tomic vs. Tristan Boyer

Not gradedThis match ended in a retirement, advancing Tristan Boyer. It is excluded from our graded record — no pick is counted as right or wrong.

Pick: TomicUpset call

Upset call: the market makes Boyer the favorite; our numbers say Tomic.

Win probability: 55% Tomic · Sets: 3 (43%) · most likely score 2-0 (31%)

Bernard Tomic and Tristan Boyer meet in the round of 32 at Bloomfield Hills on Tuesday. Bernard Tomic is rolling — 5 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Tristan Boyer has dropped 3 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Tomic is exactly that — a lean.

Alex Michelsen vs. Arthur Gea

Not gradedThe result's not in yet — check back soon.

Pick: Michelsen

Win probability: 60% Michelsen · Sets: 2 (61%) · most likely score 2-0 (37%)

Alex Michelsen and Arthur Gea meet in the round of 32 at Bloomfield Hills on Tuesday. Alex Michelsen is 7-3 across recent matches. Arthur Gea has won 7 of the last 10.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Michelsen is exactly that — a lean.

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Updated Jul 20, 2026, 9:01 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.