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Bloomfield Hills Predictions & Picks — July 23, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 23, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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3 matches are on Thursday's card at Bloomfield Hills, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Alex Michelsen against Lloyd Harris in the round of 16. Our calls: Michelsen over Harris, Boyer over Fearnley, Wong over Wolf. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

The boldest call on the card: Boyer over Fearnley — the market disagrees with us there.

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Jacob Fearnley vs. Tristan Boyer

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Jacob Fearnley goes up against Tristan Boyer in the Bloomfield Hills round of 16. Tristan Boyer limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Jacob Fearnley is rolling — 6 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Fearnley comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Boyer fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Pick: BoyerUpset call

Upset call — the market makes Fearnley the favorite; our numbers say Boyer.

Win probability: 55% Boyer · Sets: 3 (47%) · most likely score 2-0 (29%)

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Tristan Boyer at 55% lost to Jacob Fearnley (6-4 6-4). It stays up, like every other miss.

Coleman Wong vs. J J Wolf

Thursday's Bloomfield Hills round of 16 pits Coleman Wong against J J Wolf on hard. Coleman Wong is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (4 of the last 10). J J Wolf has won 2 of the last 10.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Wong comes in off a compressed schedule; Wolf comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Wong — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Pick: Wong

Win probability: 68% Wong · Sets: 2 (65%) · most likely score 2-0 (45%)

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 68% on Coleman Wong; J J Wolf won 6-3 7-5.

Alex Michelsen vs. Lloyd Harris

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Alex Michelsen goes up against Lloyd Harris in the Bloomfield Hills round of 16. Alex Michelsen has won 7 of the last 10. Lloyd Harris is 7-3 across recent matches.

Lloyd Harris has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Alex Michelsen.

Alex Michelsen simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Michelsen comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Michelsen fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Pick: Michelsen

Win probability: 55% Michelsen · Sets: 2 (63%) · most likely score 2-0 (35%)

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Alex Michelsen at 55% before the match, and Alex Michelsen won 6-3 6-3.

Updated Jul 23, 2026, 3:30 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.