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Bloomfield Hills Predictions & Picks — July 23, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 23, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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3 matches are on Thursday's card at Bloomfield Hills, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Alex Michelsen against Lloyd Harris in the round of 16. Our calls: Michelsen over Harris, Boyer over Fearnley, Wong over Wolf.

The boldest call on the card: Boyer over Fearnley — the market disagrees with us there.

Jacob Fearnley vs. Tristan Boyer

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Tristan Boyer at 55% lost to Jacob Fearnley (6-4 6-4).

Pick: BoyerUpset call

Upset call: the market makes Fearnley the favorite; our numbers say Boyer.

Win probability: 55% Boyer · Sets: 3 (47%) · most likely score 2-0 (29%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Jacob Fearnley goes up against Tristan Boyer in the Bloomfield Hills round of 16. Tristan Boyer limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Jacob Fearnley is rolling — 6 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Fearnley comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Boyer fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Coleman Wong vs. J J Wolf

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 68% on Coleman Wong; J J Wolf won 6-3 7-5.

Pick: Wong

Win probability: 68% Wong · Sets: 2 (65%) · most likely score 2-0 (45%)

Thursday's Bloomfield Hills round of 16 pits Coleman Wong against J J Wolf on hard. Coleman Wong is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (4 of the last 10). J J Wolf has won 2 of the last 10.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Wong comes in off a compressed schedule; Wolf comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Wong — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Alex Michelsen vs. Lloyd Harris

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Alex Michelsen at 55% before the match, and Alex Michelsen won 6-3 6-3.

Pick: Michelsen

Win probability: 55% Michelsen · Sets: 2 (63%) · most likely score 2-0 (35%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Alex Michelsen goes up against Lloyd Harris in the Bloomfield Hills round of 16. Alex Michelsen has won 7 of the last 10. Lloyd Harris is 7-3 across recent matches.

Lloyd Harris has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Alex Michelsen.

Alex Michelsen simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Michelsen comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Michelsen fractionally more likely to land the big points.

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Updated Jul 23, 2026, 3:30 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.