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Hamburg Predictions & Picks — July 23, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 23, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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4 matches are on Thursday's card at Hamburg, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Panna Udvardy against Paula Badosa in the round of 16. Our calls: Badosa over Udvardy, Oliynykova over Gormaz, Putintseva over Avanesyan, Sherif over Jacquemot. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

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Elina Avanesyan vs. Yulia Putintseva

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Elina Avanesyan goes up against Yulia Putintseva in the Hamburg round of 16. Yulia Putintseva comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Elina Avanesyan is 6-4 across recent matches.

Yulia Putintseva leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one.

Yulia Putintseva is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Putintseva around 72%. Putintseva should have enough here, though Avanesyan has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Pick: Putintseva

Win probability: 72% Putintseva · Sets: 2 (64%) · most likely score 2-0 (48%)

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Yulia Putintseva at 72% lost to Elina Avanesyan (6-3 2-6 6-2). It stays up, like every other miss.

Leyre Romero Gormaz vs. Oleksandra Oliynykova

Leyre Romero Gormaz and Oleksandra Oliynykova meet in the round of 16 at Hamburg on Thursday. Oleksandra Oliynykova is 6-4 across recent matches. Leyre Romero Gormaz is 8-2 across recent matches.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Little separates them; Oliynykova gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Pick: Oliynykova

Win probability: 54% Oliynykova · Sets: 3 (42%) · most likely score 2-0 (32%)

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Oleksandra Oliynykova at 54% before the match, and Oleksandra Oliynykova won 7-6 3-6 6-2.

Elsa Jacquemot vs. Mayar Sherif

Thursday's Hamburg round of 16 pits Elsa Jacquemot against Mayar Sherif on clay. Mayar Sherif is rolling — 9 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Elsa Jacquemot is 3-7 across recent matches.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

Mayar Sherif simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Jacquemot comes in off a compressed schedule; Sherif comes in off a compressed schedule. Jacquemot needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.

Pick: Sherif

Win probability: 81% Sherif · Sets: 2 (63%) · most likely score 2-0 (53%)

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Mayar Sherif at 81% before the match, and Mayar Sherif won 6-2 6-3.

Panna Udvardy vs. Paula Badosa

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Panna Udvardy goes up against Paula Badosa in the Hamburg round of 16. Paula Badosa has won 9 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Panna Udvardy comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Paula Badosa has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Panna Udvardy. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Badosa — worth more than the overall number this week.

Badosa's 65.2% behind the first serve (against 61.9% for Udvardy) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Badosa comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Badosa is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Badosa

Win probability: 54% Badosa · Sets: 2 (63%) · most likely score 2-0 (35%)

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Paula Badosa was our 54% pick, and won 6-4 6-1.

Updated Jul 22, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.