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Hamburg Predictions & Picks — July 23, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 23, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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4 matches are on Thursday's card at Hamburg, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Panna Udvardy against Paula Badosa in the round of 16. Our calls: Badosa over Udvardy, Oliynykova over Gormaz, Putintseva over Avanesyan, Sherif over Jacquemot.

Elina Avanesyan vs. Yulia Putintseva

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Yulia Putintseva at 72% lost to Elina Avanesyan (6-3 2-6 6-2).

Pick: Putintseva

Win probability: 72% Putintseva · Sets: 2 (64%) · most likely score 2-0 (48%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Elina Avanesyan goes up against Yulia Putintseva in the Hamburg round of 16. Yulia Putintseva comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Elina Avanesyan is 6-4 across recent matches.

Yulia Putintseva leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one.

Yulia Putintseva is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Putintseva around 72%. Putintseva should have enough here, though Avanesyan has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Leyre Romero Gormaz vs. Oleksandra Oliynykova

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Oleksandra Oliynykova at 54% before the match, and Oleksandra Oliynykova won 7-6 3-6 6-2.

Pick: Oliynykova

Win probability: 54% Oliynykova · Sets: 3 (42%) · most likely score 2-0 (32%)

Leyre Romero Gormaz and Oleksandra Oliynykova meet in the round of 16 at Hamburg on Thursday. Oleksandra Oliynykova is 6-4 across recent matches. Leyre Romero Gormaz is 8-2 across recent matches.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Oleksandra Oliynykova simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Oliynykova gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Elsa Jacquemot vs. Mayar Sherif

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Mayar Sherif at 81% before the match, and Mayar Sherif won 6-2 6-3.

Pick: Sherif

Win probability: 81% Sherif · Sets: 2 (63%) · most likely score 2-0 (53%)

Thursday's Hamburg round of 16 pits Elsa Jacquemot against Mayar Sherif on clay. Mayar Sherif is rolling — 9 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Elsa Jacquemot is 3-7 across recent matches.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

Mayar Sherif simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Jacquemot comes in off a compressed schedule; Sherif comes in off a compressed schedule. Jacquemot needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.

Panna Udvardy vs. Paula Badosa

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Paula Badosa was our 54% pick, and won 6-4 6-1.

Pick: Badosa

Win probability: 54% Badosa · Sets: 2 (63%) · most likely score 2-0 (35%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Panna Udvardy goes up against Paula Badosa in the Hamburg round of 16. Paula Badosa has won 9 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Panna Udvardy comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Paula Badosa has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Panna Udvardy. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Badosa — worth more than the overall number this week.

Badosa's 65.2% behind the first serve (against 61.9% for Udvardy) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Badosa comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Badosa is exactly that — a lean.

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Updated Jul 22, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.