Powered by moretime.ai
Maiden.bet

Hamburg Predictions & Picks — July 24, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 24, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

Share card

4 matches are on Friday's card at Hamburg, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Mayar Sherif against Paula Badosa in the quarterfinal. Our calls: Badosa over Sherif, Bondar over Charaeva, Kalinina over Korpatsch, Oliynykova over Avanesyan. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

Get tomorrow's picks by email

One email a day with our full card. No hype, no locks — just the numbers we'll be graded on. Unsubscribe anytime.

Alina Charaeva vs. Anna Bondar

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Alina Charaeva goes up against Anna Bondar in the Hamburg quarterfinal. Anna Bondar has won 5 of the last 10. Alina Charaeva comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Anna Bondar is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Bondar around 61%. Bondar should have enough here, though Charaeva has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Pick: Bondar

Win probability: 61% Bondar · Sets: 2 (61%) · most likely score 2-0 (38%)

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Anna Bondar at 61% before the match, and Anna Bondar won 6-1 7-6.

Anhelina Kalinina vs. Tamara Korpatsch

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Anhelina Kalinina goes up against Tamara Korpatsch in the Hamburg quarterfinal. Anhelina Kalinina is 6-4 across recent matches. Tamara Korpatsch has won 5 of the last 10.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Little separates them; Kalinina gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Pick: Kalinina

Win probability: 56% Kalinina · Sets: 2 (65%) · most likely score 2-0 (37%)

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Anhelina Kalinina at 56% lost to Tamara Korpatsch (6-3 1-6 6-1). It stays up, like every other miss.

Mayar Sherif vs. Paula Badosa

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Mayar Sherif goes up against Paula Badosa in the Hamburg quarterfinal. Paula Badosa has won 10 in a row and 10 of the last 10 overall. Mayar Sherif has won 10 in a row and 10 of the last 10 overall.

Paula Badosa has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Mayar Sherif. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Badosa — worth more than the overall number this week.

Badosa's 65.1% behind the first serve (against 58.9% for Sherif) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Sherif comes in off a compressed schedule; Badosa comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Badosa — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Pick: Badosa

Win probability: 63% Badosa · Sets: 2 (63%) · most likely score 2-0 (42%)

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 63% on Paula Badosa; Mayar Sherif won 7-6 6-7 6-4.

Elina Avanesyan vs. Oleksandra Oliynykova

Elina Avanesyan and Oleksandra Oliynykova meet in the quarterfinal at Hamburg on Friday. Oleksandra Oliynykova has won 6 of the last 10. Elina Avanesyan comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Oleksandra Oliynykova is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Oliynykova around 65%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Oliynykova.

Pick: Oliynykova

Win probability: 65% Oliynykova · Sets: 2 (60%) · most likely score 2-0 (40%)

Not gradedThis match ended in a walkover, advancing Elina Avanesyan. It is excluded from our graded record — no pick is counted as right or wrong.

Updated Jul 23, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.