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Kitzbuhel Predictions & Picks — July 24, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 24, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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2 matches are on Friday's card at Kitzbuhel, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Quentin Halys against Yannick Hanfmann in the semifinal. Our calls: Hanfmann over Halys, Bublik over Etcheverry. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

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Alexander Bublik vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Alexander Bublik goes up against Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the Kitzbuhel semifinal. Alexander Bublik has won 6 of the last 10. Tomas Martin Etcheverry is 3-7 across recent matches.

The ledger favors Alexander Bublik, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Tomas Martin Etcheverry.

Hold strength tells the story — 77.7% versus 71.2% on first-serve points in Bublik's favor. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Bublik is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Bublik

Win probability: 56% Bublik · Sets: 2 (60%) · most likely score 2-0 (35%)

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Alexander Bublik at 56% before the match, and Alexander Bublik won 6-3 6-4.

Quentin Halys vs. Yannick Hanfmann

Friday's Kitzbuhel semifinal pits Quentin Halys against Yannick Hanfmann on clay. Yannick Hanfmann has won 6 of the last 10. Quentin Halys brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Hanfmann is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Hanfmann

Win probability: 53% Hanfmann · Sets: 2 (60%) · most likely score 2-0 (32%)

✗ Pick wrongMissed it — and it stays on the record. We had Yannick Hanfmann at 53%, but Quentin Halys won 6-4 7-6.

Updated Jul 23, 2026, 8:01 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.