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Tampere Predictions & Picks — July 24, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 24, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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3 matches are on Friday's card at Tampere, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Hynek Barton against Maks Kasnikowski in the quarterfinal. Our calls: Barton over Kasnikowski, Virtanen over Squire, Gentzsch over Onclin. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

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Gauthier Onclin vs. Tom Gentzsch

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Gauthier Onclin goes up against Tom Gentzsch in the Tampere quarterfinal. Tom Gentzsch comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Gauthier Onclin has won 6 of the last 10.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Gentzsch's 72.2% behind the first serve (against 66.9% for Onclin) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. The edge belongs to Gentzsch — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Pick: Gentzsch

Win probability: 69% Gentzsch · Sets: 3 (43%) · most likely score 2-0 (40%)

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Tom Gentzsch at 69% lost to Gauthier Onclin (6-2 6-7 6-3). It stays up, like every other miss.

Hynek Barton vs. Maks Kasnikowski

Hynek Barton and Maks Kasnikowski meet in the quarterfinal at Tampere on Friday. Hynek Barton comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Maks Kasnikowski is 7-3 across recent matches.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Barton is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Barton

Win probability: 52% Barton · Sets: 3 (46%) · most likely score 2-0 (28%)

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 52% on Hynek Barton; Maks Kasnikowski won 5-7 6-4 7-5.

Henri Squire vs. Otto Virtanen

Friday's Tampere quarterfinal pits Henri Squire against Otto Virtanen on clay. Otto Virtanen is 7-3 across recent matches. Henri Squire has won 6 of the last 10.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

The serve is where this match separates: Virtanen has been winning 74.8% of first-serve points to Squire's 70.5%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Squire comes in off a compressed schedule; Virtanen comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Virtanen is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Virtanen

Win probability: 55% Virtanen · Sets: 2 (61%) · most likely score 2-0 (34%)

Not gradedThis match ended in a retirement, advancing Otto Virtanen. It is excluded from our graded record — no pick is counted as right or wrong.

Updated Jul 23, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.