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Palermo Predictions & Picks — July 26, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 26, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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One match is on Sunday's card at Palermo, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Fiona Ferro against Francesca Jones in the final. Our calls: Jones over Ferro.

Fiona Ferro vs Francesca Jones

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Francesca Jones was our 56% pick, and won 6-0 4-6 7-6(6).

Pick: Jones

Win probability: 56% Jones · We call it in 2 sets (61%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (35%)

The Palermo title is on the line on Sunday, when Fiona Ferro meets Francesca Jones. Francesca Jones brings a 9-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Fiona Ferro has won 4 in a row and 5 of the last 10 overall.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Ferro comes in off a compressed schedule; Jones comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Jones is exactly that — a lean.

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Updated Jul 26, 2026, 7:31 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.